City of Tracy — Federal Safety Grant Strategy Brief

Safety case & program alignment

+118% KSI rate post-COVID — the most severe safety surge in the region

Tracy’s KSI rate more than doubled — from 5.54% (2015–19) to 12.08% (2021–25) — a 118.1% increase, the sharpest post-COVID deterioration documented in the region. Volume dropped 24%/yr, but each crash is now twice as likely to kill or severely injure someone. This is not a volume problem — it is a severity crisis with an unambiguous upward trajectory.

CSAP adoption pending + SWITRS analysis complete — Implementation Grant position pending

Tracy’s Comprehensive Safety Action Plan (CSAP) is pending City Council adoption. Upon adoption, Tracy must complete the USDOT Self-Certification Worksheet to confirm the CSAP satisfies Action Plan requirements. If it does, Tracy can pursue an Implementation Grant directly. If gaps exist, a Planning & Demonstration Grant may be required first.

Fatalities
city streets

HIN corridors
identified

2026

CSAP
adopted

Project breakdown by category (2021–2025 crash data)

Category	Projects	Cost Est.	Focus corridors
HIN Intersections	8	$4.5M	11th St/Lammers Rd, Grant Line/Lincoln, Corral Hollow/Tennis Ln — ranked by 2021–25 KSI
Corridor Programs	4	$8.2M	11th St, Grant Line Rd, Corral Hollow Rd, Tracy Blvd — LPI + lighting + raised median
Citywide Programs	3	$2.1M	LPI+APS rollout, LED intersection lighting, DUI enforcement + speed feedback

⚡ Critical: CSAP adoption must precede SS4A submission (May 26, 2026)

The CSAP must be adopted by Council before Tracy can submit on May 26. Upon adoption, complete the USDOT Self-Certification Worksheet immediately. If the CSAP satisfies Action Plan requirements → submit Implementation Grant. If gaps remain → a Planning & Demonstration Grant may be required instead. Recommend requesting USDOT pre-application CSAP review as soon as the adoption date is confirmed.

Priority SS4A projects — 2021–2025 crash data

Tier 1 — Fatal & high-KSI corridors (2021–2025)

Location	KSI	Fatal	Countermeasures
11th St Corridor COR #1 138 crashes · 15 KSI · 5 fatal · era B: 5 KSI	15	5	Raised median, LPI all signals, LED lighting, Buffered bike lanes, HV crosswalks, Ped countdown signals
Grant Line Rd Corridor COR #2 228 crashes · 15 KSI · era B: 9 KSI rising	15	3	Protected LT, LPI+APS, LED lighting, Ped refuge islands, RRFBs, Speed calming
Corral Hollow Rd Corridor COR #3 180 crashes · 10 KSI · era B: 7 KSI worsening	10	2	Class IV bike lanes, RRFB crossings, Ped refuge islands, LED lighting, LPI at signals
Tracy Blvd EMERGING #1 50 crashes · 9 KSI · 0 KSI era A → 9 KSI era B	9	0	Raised median, LPI, Ped refuge islands, LED lighting, Speed feedback signs, Road diet eval
11th St & Lammers Rd INT #1 9 crashes · 2 KSI · highest total volume	2	0	LPI, Bulb-outs, HV crosswalk, APS, Signal upgrade, Ped countdown
Corral Hollow & Tennis Ln INT #2 6 crashes · 2 KSI · 1 fatal	2	1	Protected LT, LPI, LED intersection lighting, HV crosswalk, APS

Citywide programs

Program	Type	Justification (2021–2025)
LPI + APS Rollout (~22 intersections)	SYS	278 signal/ROW crashes (41 KSI); KSI rate doubled era A→B; LPI CMF=0.13–0.30 ped fatality reduction
LED Intersection Lighting (30+ locations)	LIGHT	Dark KSI rate surged from 11.7% to 19.3%; 46.5% of ped KSI occur in dark; 4.1× dark/day multiplier
Speed Feedback Signs + Road Diet Eval	SPEED	Speed KSI rate surged 573%: 1.5%→10.1%; Unsafe Speed = #1 PCF at 494 crashes
DUI Enforcement + Safe Routes Outreach	BEH	185 alcohol crashes (38 KSI, 20.5% rate); 2.9× multiplier; Fri–Sun 9PM+ window highest risk

What we bring & recommended ask

CSAP adoption pending — must be confirmed before the May 26 SS4A deadline. Upon Council adoption, Tracy must complete the USDOT Self-Certification Worksheet. If the CSAP satisfies Action Plan requirements, Tracy can pursue a FY2026 Implementation Grant targeting $5–12M federal.
+118% KSI rate — strongest severity narrative in the region. Tracy’s post-COVID safety collapse (5.54%→12.08% KSI rate) is among the most severe documented in Central California. SS4A reviewers prioritize demonstrated, data-backed need — Tracy’s SWITRS analysis provides exactly that.
FHWA Safe System HIN analysis complete. FHWA-weighted Safe System scoring across all 15 HIN corridors and top intersections. 11th St and Grant Line Rd tied at 15 KSI each — top-tier HIN anchors for the application narrative and project location workbook.
1,938 crashes analyzed with full multivariate breakdown. Pre/post-COVID KSI trends, 30 fatalities documented, ped/bike/alcohol/dark-condition patterns quantified. Tracy Blvd’s 0→9 KSI emergence, 46.5% ped dark KSI rate, and 118% rate increase form a compelling, multi-faceted safety narrative.
HIN-to-countermeasure mapping complete. Every HIN corridor matched to FHWA-eligible countermeasures with cost ranges. Project identification is done — remaining work: formal narrative, project workbook, and CSAP self-certification documentation.

Analysis basis: SWITRS/TIMS 2015–2025 (excl. 2020) · FHWA Safe System HIN methodology · SS4A NOFO FY2026 · CSAP adoption pending · Deadline: May 26, 2026

SS4A FY2026 — Recommended Implementation Grant

Multi-Corridor HIN Implementation Package

$5M – $12M federal · 80% federal / 20% local

8 HIN intersections + 4 corridor programs + 3 citywide programs. Balanced portfolio: infrastructure (LPI, LED lighting, raised median, RRFB), speed management, and behavioral (DUI, Safe Routes). 11th St + Grant Line Rd anchor projects with 30 combined KSI provide the core BCR case. Final scope per CSAP eligibility confirmation.

SS4A NOFO FY2026 CSAP Adoption Pending ⚡ Due May 26, 2026 SWITRS 2015–2025 +118% KSI rate

Why this application portfolio can win

C12 track record — 3 projects, $1.55M funded — proven delivery

Tracy won 3 projects in C12 ($1.55M) across BCR, SA-Ped, and SA-Bike categories. TC12-39-001 (signal + LPI + APS, $892K) established the signal infrastructure precedent. TC12-39-002 (RRFBs + ped crossings, $348K) and TC12-39-003 (Class IV bike lanes, $312K) provide direct scale-up templates for C13 applications. Returning applicants with delivery history score higher.

Collision profile maps precisely to highest-scoring C13 categories

Dark crashes: 468 (69 KSI) → BCR Lighting (avg C12 grant $1.84M)
Speed #1 PCF: 494 crashes — KSI rate 1.5%→10.1% → BCR Speed calming
Ped: 127 (29 KSI, 22.8% rate) → VRU Special Rule bonus
Bike: 164 (3 KSI) → SA-Bike set-aside (C12 precedent)
Signal/ROW: 278 (41 KSI) → BCR Signal+LPI (C12 TC12-39-001 precedent)

HSIP award history & statewide comparables

Tracy C12

$1.55M

3 projects: BCR signal, SA-Ped, SA-Bike. Direct C13 scale-up templates exist for each.

Long Beach C12

$9.7M

Retro sign upgrade — comparable scope to Tracy’s speed management BCR case.

Glendale C12

$8.25M

Signal+LPI+APS citywide — model for Tracy’s BCR+VRU hybrid application.

Recommended C13 portfolio (2021–2025 crash data)

Application	Countermeasures	Category	Est. range
Signal Modernization + VRU #1 278 signal (41 KSI) + 127 ped (29 KSI)	LPI+APS at 22 HIN intersections, Retroreflective backplates, Protected LT, Countdown signals. Builds on TC12-39-001.	BCR VRU+	$5–9M
Intersection Lighting #2 468 dark (69 KSI); dark rate 11.7%→19.3%	LED lighting at 28+ HIN intersections; corridor lighting on 11th St/Grant Line/Corral Hollow; edge delineators	BCR	$2.5–5.5M
Raised Median #3 11th St 15 KSI + Grant Line Rd 15 KSI	Raised median channelization; restrict LT conflicts; ped refuge islands; Protected-permissive LT phasing	BCR	$3.5–8M
SA-PedCrossing × 2 127 ped (29 KSI); 46.5% dark KSI rate	RRFBs at unsignalized crossings on Grant Line Rd + Corral Hollow Rd; curb extensions; ped refuge. Builds on TC12-39-002.	SA-Ped	2 × $400K
SA-Bike Safety × 2 164 bike (3 KSI); 11th St top corridor	Class IV separated bike lanes on 11th St; bike detection at signals; green pavement at conflict zones. Builds on TC12-39-003.	SA-Bike	2 × $360K
Speed + Enforcement #6 Tracy Blvd 0→9 KSI; 494 speed crashes	Dynamic speed feedback signs; raised crosswalks/speed tables; road diet eval Tracy Blvd; automated enforcement study	BCR	$800K–2.2M

C13 Winning Portfolio Formula

App 1 — BCR+VRU: Signal+LPI+APS $5–9M

App 2 — BCR: Intersection Lighting $2.5–5.5M

App 3 — BCR: Raised Median $3.5–8M

Apps 4–5 — SA-Ped × 2 (Grant Line + Corral Hollow) 2 × $400K

App 6 — SA-Bike × 2 (11th St + Corral Hollow) 2 × $360K

Total C13 target: $14.5M – $27.2M · 0% local match · VRU Special Rule qualifies (ped+bike = 291 crashes, 32 KSI)

What we bring to this application

3 C12 projects prove Tracy delivery. TC12-39-001 (BCR signal+LPI, $892K), TC12-39-002 (SA-Ped, $348K), and TC12-39-003 (SA-Bike, $312K). Each provides a direct template for C13 scale-up. Reviewers prioritize agencies with demonstrated project completion — Tracy’s C12 record is the strongest differentiator for C13.
118% KSI rate increase — catastrophic post-COVID trend. Tracy’s severity surge (5.54%→12.08%) is one of the largest in the state. HSIP C13 prioritizes agencies with documented, data-backed safety deterioration. Tracy’s SWITRS evidence is the program’s highest-priority use case.
Post-COVID (2021–2025) crash pools fully quantified. All HSIP project recommendations based on 5-year post-COVID data: 468 dark (69 KSI), 494 speed (22 KSI), 278 signal (41 KSI), 127 ped (29 KSI), 164 bike (3 KSI). Each crash pool is pre-validated for BCR calculation.
C12 projects create C13 direct scale-up narrative. TC12-39-001 (signal $892K) scales to citywide LPI+APS at 22 HIN intersections. TC12-39-002 (ped $348K) replicates on Corral Hollow Rd and Grant Line Rd. TC12-39-003 (bike $312K) expands to full 11th St corridor. Each C13 app extends proven C12 work.
Set-aside applications are low-risk, high-return. SA-Ped and SA-Bike both have 80%+ win rates in C12. Tracy already won both categories once. Submit 2 SA-Ped and 2 SA-Bike applications targeting different corridors — 73 SA-Ped and 30 SA-Bike projects were funded in C12 statewide.

SWITRS/TIMS 2021–2025 3 prior HSIP wins (C12) 162 KSI · 30 fatals BCR · SA-Ped · SA-Bike · VRU