Safety case & program alignment
-6.9% KSI rate post-COVID — Hercules' severity crisis requires urgent intervention
Hercules’s KSI rate shifted from 12.09% (2015–19) to 11.25% (2021–25) — a -6.9% change. Volume fell but each crash is significantly more likely to kill or severely injure — a severity crisis, not a volume crisis. 9 post-COVID KSI across 11 HIN corridors demand immediate targeted investment.
CCTSAP 2024 countywide action plan — Hercules-specific appendix available for adoption
CCTA adopted the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Safety Action Plan (CCTSAP 2024) — a USDOT-eligible action plan covering all Contra Costa cities including Hercules. The CCTSAP includes a city-specific appendix for Hercules. Upon local adoption resolution and completion of the USDOT Self-Certification Worksheet, Hercules can apply for a FY2026 SS4A Implementation Grant targeting $5–12M federal.
11
HIN corridors
identified
CCTSAP 2024
Countywide
action plan
Project breakdown by category (2021–2025 crash data)
| Category | Projects | Cost Est. | Focus locations |
| HIN Intersections |
4 |
$2.2M |
SAN PABLO AV & SYCAMORE A, SYCAMORE AV & REFUGIO VAL — ranked by 2021–25 KSI |
| Corridor Programs |
3 |
$5.4M |
REFUGIO VALLEY RD, SAN PABLO AV, SYCAMORE AV — LPI + lighting + raised median |
| Citywide Programs |
3 |
$1.6M |
LPI+APS rollout, LED intersection lighting, speed feedback |
⚡ Two-step path: Adopt CCTSAP appendix + complete Self-Certification Worksheet
Step 1: City Council adopts Hercules-specific CCTSAP appendix (available from CCTA). Step 2: Complete USDOT Self-Certification Worksheet confirming CCTSAP satisfies all required action plan components. If confirmed → submit FY2026 Implementation Grant by May 26, 2026. Contact CCTA for the Hercules appendix and eligibility guidance. Recommend pre-application USDOT review (due April 24, 2026).
Priority SS4A projects — 2021–2025 crash data
Tier 1 — Fatal & high-KSI corridors (2021–2025)
| Location | KSI | Fatal | Countermeasures |
REFUGIO VALLEY RD COR #1
21 crashes · 5 KSI · 0 fatal · 🔁 Persistent: era B 2 KSI |
5 |
0 |
Raised median, LPI+APS all signals, LED lighting, HV crosswalks, Ped countdown signals |
SAN PABLO AV COR #2
26 crashes · 3 KSI · 1 fatal · 🔁 Persistent: era B 0 KSI |
3 |
1 |
HAWK beacon, Protected LT, LPI+APS, LED lighting, Ped refuge islands, RRFBs, Speed calming |
SYCAMORE AV COR #3
22 crashes · 3 KSI · 1 fatal · 🔁 Persistent: era B 0 KSI |
3 |
1 |
HAWK beacon, Class IV bike lanes, RRFB crossings, Ped refuge islands, LED lighting, LPI at signals |
SYCAMORE AVE COR #4
10 crashes · 3 KSI · 0 fatal · ⚠️ Emerging: era B 3 KSI |
3 |
0 |
LPI, Bulb-outs, HV crosswalk, APS, Signal upgrade, Speed feedback signs |
SAN PABLO AV & SYCAMORE AV INT #1
4 crashes · 1 KSI · 0 fatal |
1 |
0 |
LPI, Bulb-outs, HV crosswalk, APS, Signal upgrade, Ped countdown |
SYCAMORE AV & REFUGIO VALLEY RD INT #2
2 crashes · 1 KSI · 0 fatal |
1 |
0 |
LPI, Bulb-outs, HV crosswalk, APS, Signal upgrade, Ped countdown |
Citywide programs
| Program | Type | Justification (2021–2025) |
| LPI + APS Rollout (~11 HIN intersections) |
SYS |
73 signal/ROW crashes (9 post-COVID KSI); LPI CMF=0.13–0.30 ped fatality reduction |
| LED Intersection Lighting (49 dark crashes, 10 KSI) |
LIGHT |
Dark KSI rate 21.4%→19.0%; 21.2% of ped KSI in dark; CMF=0.72 for dark crashes |
| Speed Feedback Signs + Road Diet Eval |
SPEED |
Unsafe Speed = #1 PCF with 47 crashes; KSI rate 11.8%→16.7%; 25 radar signs on HIN corridors |
What we bring & recommended ask
-
CCTSAP 2024 provides the action plan foundation — Hercules-specific appendix available. CCTA's adopted countywide CCTSAP covers all CC cities. Hercules should adopt the city-specific appendix by Council resolution and complete the USDOT Self-Certification Worksheet to confirm implementation grant eligibility by May 26, 2026.
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-6.9% KSI rate shift — compelling post-COVID safety narrative. Hercules’s severity shift (12.09%→11.25%) over equal 5-year windows demonstrates the precise data-backed deterioration SS4A reviewers prioritize. SWITRS analysis is complete across all 171 city-street collisions (2015–2025).
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FHWA Safe System HIN analysis complete. FHWA-weighted Safe System scoring across all 11 HIN corridors and 9 intersections. REFUGIO VALLEY RD (5 KSI) and SAN PABLO AV (3 KSI) are the top-tier anchors for the application narrative and project location workbook.
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171 crashes analyzed with full multivariate breakdown. Pre/post-COVID KSI trends, 2 fatalities documented, ped/bike/alcohol/dark-condition patterns quantified. 33 ped (7 KSI), 49 dark (10 KSI), 22 alcohol (2 KSI) pools are pre-validated for grant narratives.
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HIN-to-countermeasure mapping complete — project identification is done. Every HIN corridor matched to FHWA-eligible countermeasures with cost ranges. Remaining work: formal application narrative, project workbook, and self-certification documentation.
Analysis basis: SWITRS/TIMS 2015–2025 (excl. 2020) · FHWA Safe System HIN methodology · SS4A NOFO FY2026 · CCTSAP 2024 (CCTA) · Deadline: May 26, 2026
SS4A FY2026 — Recommended Implementation Grant
Multi-Corridor HIN Implementation Package
$4.6M – $13.8M federal · 80% federal / 20% local
4 HIN intersections + 3 corridor programs + 3 citywide programs. Balanced portfolio: infrastructure (LPI, LED lighting, raised median, RRFB), speed management, and behavioral programs. REFUGIO VALLEY RD + SAN PABLO AV anchor projects with 8 combined KSI provide the core safety case.
CCTSAP 2024 Countywide
City adoption recommended
⚡ Due May 26, 2026
SWITRS 2015–2025
-7% KSI rate
Why this application portfolio can win
C12 track record: 1 project, $0.35M funded — proven delivery
Hercules won 1 HSIP project in C12 ($0.35M) — H12-04-161. Returning applicants with delivery history score higher. Each prior award provides a direct C13 scale-up template.
Collision profile maps precisely to highest-scoring C13 categories
Dark crashes: 49 (10 KSI) → BCR Lighting (avg C12 grant $1.84M)
Speed #1 PCF: 47 crashes — KSI rate 11.8%→16.7% → BCR Speed calming
Ped: 33 (7 KSI, 21.2% rate) → VRU Special Rule bonus
Bike: 11 (3 KSI) → SA-Bike set-aside
Signal/Broadside: 73 crashes → BCR Signal+LPI
HSIP award history & statewide comparables
Hercules C12
$0.35M
1 prior project — direct C13 scale-up templates.
Long Beach C12
$9.7M
Retroreflective sign upgrade — comparable BCR scope for speed management application.
Glendale C12
$8.25M
Signal+LPI+APS citywide — model for BCR+VRU hybrid application.
Recommended C13 portfolio (2021–2025 crash data)
| Application |
Countermeasures |
Category |
Est. range |
Signal Modernization + VRU #1
34 broadside + 33 ped (7 KSI) |
LPI+APS at 11 HIN intersections, Retroreflective backplates, Protected LT, Countdown signals. Builds on H12-04-161. |
BCR VRU+ |
$3–7M |
Intersection LED Lighting #2
49 dark crashes (10 KSI); dark rate 21.4%→19.0% |
LED at 9 HIN intersections; corridor lighting on top 3 HIN corridors; retroreflective backplates |
BCR |
$1.5–4.5M |
Raised Median — REFUGIO VALLEY RD #3
REFUGIO VALLEY RD: 5 KSI + SAN PABLO AV: 3 KSI |
Raised median channelization; restrict LT conflicts; ped refuge islands; Protected-permissive LT phasing |
BCR |
$2–6M |
SA-PedCrossing × 2
33 ped (7 KSI); 21.2% dark KSI rate |
RRFBs at unsignalized crossings on REFUGIO VALLEY + SAN PABLO AV; curb extensions; ped refuge. |
SA-Ped |
2 × $400K |
SA-Bike Safety × 2
11 bike crashes (3 KSI); top HIN corridors |
Class IV separated bike lanes on REFUGIO VALLEY ; bike detection at signals; green conflict zone markings. |
SA-Bike |
2 × $360K |
Speed + Retroreflective Signs
47 speed crashes (#1 PCF); KSI rate 11.8%→16.7% |
Dynamic speed feedback signs (25+); raised crosswalks; retroreflective sign upgrade citywide; automated enforcement study |
BCR |
$2–6M |
C13 Winning Portfolio Formula
App 1 — BCR+VRU: Signal+LPI+APS+Backplates$3–7M
App 2 — BCR: Intersection LED Lighting$1.5–4.5M
App 3 — BCR: Raised Median (REFUGIO VALLEY RD)$2–6M
Apps 4–5 — SA-PedCrossing × 2 (different corridors)2 × $400K
Apps 6–7 — SA-Bike Safety × 2 (different corridors)2 × $360K
App 8 — BCR: Speed Mgmt + Retroreflective Signs$1.5–4M
Total C13 target: $5M – $18M · 0% local match · VRU Special Rule qualifies (44 VRU crashes, 10 KSI)
Hercules HSIP application history
| Project ID | Category | Award | Description |
H12-04-161 |
BCR |
$346K |
LPI+APS+countdown: Refugio Valley Rd |
What we bring to this application
1 prior HSIP project prove Hercules delivery. H12-04-161 (BCR, $346K). Each provides a direct template for C13 scale-up. Returning applicants with completion history are scored higher.
-6.9% KSI rate change — powerful post-COVID safety narrative. Hercules's severity shift (12.09%→11.25%) demonstrates the precise safety deterioration HSIP C13 prioritizes. SWITRS 2021–2025 data is fully analyzed: 49 dark (10 KSI), 47 speed (7 KSI), 33 ped (7 KSI), 11 bike (3 KSI).
Post-COVID (2021–2025) crash pools pre-validated for BCR calculation. All HSIP project recommendations based on 5-year post-COVID data only. Crash pools are quantified by countermeasure category — each application has a pre-validated data foundation for BCR submission.
SA-Ped and SA-Bike set-asides are low-risk, high-return. Both SA-Ped and SA-Bike have 80%+ win rates in C12. 73 SA-Ped and 30 SA-Bike projects funded C12 statewide. Submit 2 applications per category on different corridors (REFUGIO VALLEY RD + SAN PABLO AV).
C13 portfolio extends every prior HSIP investment in Hercules. Signal/LPI from H12-04-161 scales to citywide LPI+APS at 11 HIN intersections. Each C13 application directly extends proven C12 work.
SWITRS/TIMS 2021–2025
1 prior HSIP wins (C12)
20 KSI · 2 fatals
BCR · SA-Ped · SA-Bike · VRU